Ticker drill-down
GOOGL
Position, theses, and decisions grouped by ticker.
Position
Shares
1.118117133
Avg cost
$373.38
Theses
long · medium
GOOGL is a core mega-cap AI/cloud holding. Google Cloud growth and Gemini AI integration across Search, Workspace, and Android underpin the long-term thesis. As a hyperscaler (not a pure chip name), GOOGL is partially in…
long · medium
GOOGL held position. Stock likely around $387-390 range (GOOGL rose 1% today per market reports). Communication services is the weakest sector at -0.0% today and -1.3% over 5 days, but GOOGL is outperforming its sector. …
long · medium
Google delivered a blowout Q1 with Cloud revenue growing 63% YoY, validating AI capex ROI. The market rewarded GOOGL with an 8.8% post-earnings surge, distinguishing it from capex-burdened peers (META, MSFT). First-ever …
long · high
GOOGL delivered a blowout Q1: revenue $109.9B (+22%), Google Cloud grew 63% to $20B (far exceeding 45%+ threshold), backlog nearly doubled to $460B, Search grew 19%. Operating income up 30%, margin expanded to 36.1%. Pic…
long · medium
Alphabet beat Q4 estimates with revenue of $113.8B (+18% YoY) and EPS of $2.82 (vs $2.65 est). Google Cloud revenue surged 48% to $17.7B, vastly exceeding the $16.2B forecast. Cloud operating income doubled YoY. Gemini a…
long · medium
Alphabet reported strong Q4 earnings on Feb 4 — EPS $2.82 (beat $2.63 est), revenue $113.83B (beat $111.43B est). Google Cloud accelerated to 48% YoY growth with $17.66B revenue (beat $16.18B est), reaching $70B annualiz…
Decisions
All decisions →HOLD2026-06-110 sh$355.69No playbook actions provided. Market outlook explicitly gates further deployment: Rule 44 rate-shock regime binding (CPI 4.2%, ~63% Fed hike odds). ORCL capex-guidance shock has fu…HOLD2026-06-090 sh$366.70GOOGL position held through rate-shock macro window (Rule 44: CPI >3.5%, hike odds >20%). Thesis remains active; price $367.27 vs avg cost $373.38 reflects valuation compression in…HOLD2026-06-080 sh$363.64GOOGL position held per Rule 44 rate-shock regime and Rule 36 upside-invalidation orphan status. Current price $364.17 vs avg_cost $373.38 is -2.5% underwater; thesis intact on lon…HOLD2026-06-050 sh$366.17Thesis intact: GOOGL is a hyperscaler with partial insulation from pure chip-sector compression, but carries medium-term AI-capex-funding-gap scrutiny ($175-190B 2026 capex vs FCF …HOLD2026-05-200 sh$387.06GOOGL sell (exit_partial_pct 50%) is CONDITIONAL on NVDA beat-and-raise (Scenario A only). Current price $387.21 is below the $410+ threshold specified in the playbook action. NVDA…HOLD2026-05-190 sh$388.88NVDA earnings binary event May 20 (tomorrow, AMC) creates rule-gated hold. Rule 27 macro_risk constraint active: fragile macro-resolution window. GOOGL is high-multiple growth (est…HOLD2026-05-180 sh$399.00GOOGL position (1.12 shares, $452.60 market value, 5.7% of portfolio) held through NVDA earnings. Current price $405.0 has reached thesis upside target zone ($405-415 planned exit …HOLD2026-05-150 sh$396.00GOOGL is held pending NVDA earnings clarity and pre-NVDA momentum. Current price $400.00 is below thesis exit target of $415–$420. The position is not yet at target, and the stock …BUY2026-05-110.115953817 sh$390.90GOOGL at $390.85 is well below thesis exit target of $420. Position is currently 1.002 shares (~$391 market value, 4.9% of portfolio). Isomorphic Labs $2B funding round and Blackst…HOLD2026-05-070 sh$394.86GOOGL position ($396, 5.0% of portfolio) is held per thesis #233 targeting $420 exit. Current price $394.99 is ~0.02% below thesis target. Cloud growth remains strong; Blackstone/K…BUY2026-05-060.381168353 sh$396.63GOOGL at $396.67 is well below thesis exit target ($420 per playbook). Current position is 0.62 shares (~$246.26, 3.1% of portfolio). Adding to 5% target is modest and well below R…INVALID2026-05-050 sh$387.51[SKIPPED: intent add_to_target_pct resolved to 0 shares against held=0.620994963] GOOGL thesis #233 remains valid with multiple corroborating signals: Blackstone/KKR AI infrastruct…BUY2026-05-050.22273054 sh$386.57GOOGL position is 0.398 shares (~$154, ~1.9% of portfolio). Target is 3% additional allocation above current state, so ~$240 deployment to reach ~4.9% total position. Blowout Q1 fu…SELL2026-05-040.170684752 sh$383.02GOOGL is trading at ~$383.67, very near analyst consensus PT of ~$387. Position is up ~14% from cost basis. Q1 EPS beat was inflated by $37B unrealized equity gains (Waymo/SpaceX r…HOLD2026-05-010 sh$384.67GOOGL at $386.00, thesis #228 (medium confidence) suggests small add of $200. However, multiple constraints and rules block execution: (1) Rule 27 (macro_risk): May 5 earnings clus…HOLD2026-04-300 sh$382.88GOOGL thesis #182 upgraded to high confidence on blowout Q1: Cloud 63% growth, revenue $109.9B, backlog $460B. Stock at $382.73 vs $338 cost basis (+12.3% gain, +1.3% above documen…HOLD2026-04-290 sh$350.71GOOGL reports AMC tonight (binary event). Position is small (~2.4% of portfolio, $199.70 market value). Thesis #182 correctly identifies this as a binary event where outcome clarit…HOLD2026-04-280 sh$350.11GOOGL reports April 29 AMC tomorrow. Position is 2.4% of portfolio (~$199 at $350.45), well below Rule 29's 10% cap. Thesis #182 expects Google Cloud 28-59% growth and potential up…SELL2026-04-270.306357248 sh$352.52GOOGL position is 3.8% of portfolio, currently +4.8% gain at $352.57 vs $335.85 cost basis. Stock rallies into binary earnings event April 29 AMC with high market expectations (Clo…HOLD2026-04-240 sh$344.95Position held at 0.875 shares (~$301.45, 3.8% of portfolio). Recent buy on 2026-04-15 showed positive 7d outcome (+2.3%). No playbook available and no new corroborating signal to t…HOLD2026-04-230 sh$339.18GOOGL position small (0.875 shares, ~$297 at $339.15 current price). Approaching April 29 earnings binary. Cloud Next catalysts already priced in per playbook. Per Rule #27, mainta…BUY2026-04-220.177378159 sh$339.30GOOGL Cloud Next 2026 catalysts (TPU 8t/8i, Gemini Enterprise Agent Platform, Thinking Machines Lab deal) are live and producing positive news_signal:unknown events. Current positi…HOLD2026-04-210 sh$333.55GOOGL position already trimmed today (0.1745 shares sold at $333.75). Remaining position is 0.697928264 shares (~$233 value, ~7.9% of portfolio). While earnings timing uncertainty …SELL2026-04-210.174482065 sh$333.75GOOGL earnings binary April 29 after-hours. Current position 0.872 shares at $333.79 = ~$291 value, approximately 9.8% of portfolio, near Rule 29's 10% single-symbol cap. Trim 20% …BUY2026-04-200.302410329 sh$338.14GOOGL add is justified by fresh Marvell partnership news (news_signal:unknown, our strongest signal at +0.51% alpha, 67% beat rate). Current position ~$192 value (~6.5% of portfoli…HOLD2026-04-170 sh$341.83GOOGL thesis #182: position at 0.57 shares (~$190 value, 6.4% of portfolio). Multiple analyst PT raises and recovery support the thesis. However, playbook requests $200 invest_doll…BUY2026-04-150.3 sh$336.49GOOGL at $336.55, currently 0.27 shares (~$90.8 value, ~3.1% of portfolio). Adding $100.97 (0.3 shares) brings position to 0.57 shares (~$191.8 value, ~6.5% of portfolio), well wit…HOLD2026-03-310.270000000000000017763568394002504646778106689453125 sh$286.89No playbook available. Holding existing position.SELL2026-03-270.270000000000000017763568394002504646778106689453125 sh$274.89GOOGL down 5% from $322.63 cost to ~$274.83 current. Tech sector in correction (-4.0% 5d). Nasdaq correction context + 52% rate hike probability creates sustained headwinds for lar…HOLD2026-03-180 sh$308.59SKIP playbook action 115. GOOGL in watch-first mode (4th consecutive HOLD) with 0.55 confidence is below execution threshold. Existing 0.54 share position at $322.63 avg cost near …HOLD2026-03-170 sh$309.93GOOGL shows two bullish signals: Michigan data center with 2.7 GW clean energy and expanding AI Mode across Search/Gemini. $175-185B capex plan validates long-term AI commitment. H…HOLD2026-03-160 sh$305.55GOOGL currently 0.54 shares @ $322.63. While Google is confirmed as major Vera Rubin adopter with direct Google Cloud AI infrastructure benefits, confidence is only 0.6 and positio…HOLD2026-03-130 sh$302.14Skip playbook action 103. Current position 0.54 shares at $322.63 avg cost has thesis_id null (no underlying hypothesis). Playbook correctly identifies defensive AI infrastructure …HOLD2026-02-110.54000000000000003552713678800500929355621337890625 sh$310.86HOLD2026-02-110 sh$310.81HOLD2026-02-110.54000000000000003552713678800500929355621337890625 sh$310.71HOLD2026-02-100 sh$319.83BUY2026-02-100.2300000000000000099920072216264088638126850128173828125 sh$320.20GOOGL trading at ~$323, down 5.8% from $344 ATH post-capex guidance. Support at $323.44 from accumulated volume. Beat Q4 estimates (revenue $113.8B, Cloud +48% to $17.7B, EPS $2.82…BUY2026-02-090.309999999999999997779553950749686919152736663818359375 sh$324.44Post-earnings pullback from $344 ATH to $323 creates buying opportunity on strong beat: EPS $2.82 vs $2.63 est, revenue $113.83B vs $111.43B est. Google Cloud grew 48% YoY to $17.6…